Jaro 4-0 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 27 Jan 2024

Jaro
4-0
KaPa
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Ykköscup – 2024

Jaro vs KaPa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v KaPa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Jaro vs KaPa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-1D-1L
AWAY KaPa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-4 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FINY
09.07.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
22.04.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro ran out comfortable winners over KaPa 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jaro and 2.33 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Jaro vs KaPa?

Jaro 4-0 KaPa in the Finland - Ykköscup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jaro 53%, draw 25%, KaPa 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ BTTS No
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