Lens 2-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 May 2024

Lens
2-0 HT 0-0
Lorient
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lens vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
16%
3.73
X/2
10%
12.8
X/X
13%
6.73
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
8%
9.48
2/X
8%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.89/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.78
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.1 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lens vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lorient
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 1.07
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
458 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
21.05.2023 Lorient Lorient 1-3 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1
09.02.2023 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FRK
31.08.2022 Lens Lens 5-2 HT 2-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
06.02.2022 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
29.08.2021 Lens Lens 2-2 HT 1-2 Lorient Lorient FR1

Lens 2-0 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
2-0
AWAY Lorient
2.12 xG 0.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
459 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 22
33 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lens vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens got the better of Lorient 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lens had 57% of the ball to Lorient's 43%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.12 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lens and 1.33 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Lens vs Lorient?

Lens 2-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lens 51%, draw 26%, Lorient 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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