Arsenal U21 6-2 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.29
No
46%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
73%
-19.1pp
46%
BTTS No
27%
+19.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.27/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.05/3.00
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
6-2
AWAY Manchester United U21
4.23 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 0
469 Passes 390
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 ran out comfortable winners over Manchester United U21 6-2. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal U21 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 54% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 4.23 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Arsenal U21 6-2 Manchester United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 42%, draw 25%, Manchester United U21 33%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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