Al Qadsia 2-0 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.94
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
3.14
6+ Goals
7%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 30% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.8pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
2.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.71
-12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
07.01.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
22.10.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
13.02.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 5-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
02.10.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
25.04.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
10.01.2022 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qadsia
2-0
AWAY Al Nasar
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qadsia got the better of Al Nasar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Qadsia as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Al Qadsia had 54% of the ball to Al Nasar's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Qadsia and 0.67 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar?

Al Qadsia 2-0 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 63%, draw 22%, Al Nasar 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qadsia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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