BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
5-2
HT 1-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-1
HT 1-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
2-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils squeezed past FS Jelgava 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; BFC Daugavpils found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 42% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 58%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.92 to 1.48 — on chances, FS Jelgava could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.17 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 35%, draw 34%, FS Jelgava 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.