FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 36%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -35%
1.04/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.42
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.5 Crosses 21.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
2W-3D-1L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
286 Passes 242
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.06.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.05.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 5-2 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
17.03.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
27.09.2020 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.07.2020 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-0
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.21 xG 0.71
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
182 Passes 384
61% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FS Jelgava at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 38% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 62%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.21 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.17 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 41%, draw 30%, BFC Daugavpils 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FS Jelgava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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