Liepaja 0-2 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.80/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.32
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
27.7 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
315 Passes 243
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.08.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.06.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
18.04.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
30.10.2022 Liepaja Liepaja 4-1 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
20.08.2022 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-2
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
0.81 xG 1.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
445 Passes 227
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 got the better of Liepaja 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Liepaja had 63% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 37%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Liepaja and 0.83 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000?

Liepaja 0-2 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 53%, draw 23%, FK Tukums 2000 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ BTTS No
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