MOL Fehervar 4-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 May 2024

MOL Fehervar
4-0 HT 3-0
MTK Budapest
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.38
2-3 Goals
45%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
14%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.39
-4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
21.7 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
5W-1D-0L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-2 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
08.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.04.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
11.12.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
28.08.2021 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
29.04.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC

MOL Fehervar 4-0 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
4-0
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.49 xG 0.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
534 Passes 291
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
40 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar ran out comfortable winners over MTK Budapest 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; MOL Fehervar found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 62% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 38%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.49 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for MOL Fehervar and 0.50 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest?

MOL Fehervar 4-0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated an MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 37%, draw 25%, MTK Budapest 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (MTK Budapest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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