MTK Budapest 0-2 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Feb 2024

MTK Budapest
0-2 HT 0-2
MOL Fehervar
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MTK Budapest v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
1.40/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.17
-26% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
14.0 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
0W-1D-5L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 1.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
213 Passes 441
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 39
22 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.04.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
11.12.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
28.08.2021 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
29.04.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
15.04.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MACK

MTK Budapest 0-2 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
0-2
AWAY MOL Fehervar
0.78 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
491 Passes 313
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar saw off MTK Budapest 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 59% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.17 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar?

MTK Budapest 0-2 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 42%, draw 27%, MOL Fehervar 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MTK Budapest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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