Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Feb 2024

Debrecen
1-2 HT 1-1
Ferencvaros
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Debrecen vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
41%
3.64
Away
34%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.6pp
41%
Draw
24%
+16.7pp
34%
Away Win
54%
-20.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 58%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -26%
0.91/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.15
-29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
209 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
– Crosses 21.4
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Debrecen vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.70 xG 1.54
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
188 Passes 392
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
20.05.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-3 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
26.02.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
09.10.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
09.04.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
12.12.2021 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC

Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1-2
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.90 xG 0.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
223 Passes 327
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros edged past Debrecen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Debrecen had 43% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 57%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.90 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Debrecen and 1.67 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?

Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 25%, draw 41%, Ferencvaros 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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