CD Tapatio 0-3 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
0.99/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.83
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atlante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
03.04.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.10.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
04.06.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
14.05.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
11.05.2023 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
14.01.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 4-3 HT 1-2 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante cruised past CD Tapatio 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Tapatio and 0.83 for Atlante.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Atlante?

CD Tapatio 0-3 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 29%, draw 28%, Atlante 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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