Masr 0-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 May 2024

Masr
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Mokawloon
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Masr vs Al Mokawloon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Masr v Al Mokawloon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.97/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.18
+61% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.7 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Masr vs Al Mokawloon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.31 xG 2.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 3-3 HT 2-1 Masr MSR
29.09.2020 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 6-0 HT 5-0 Masr MSR
11.01.2020 Masr 1-3 HT 0-3 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR

Masr 0-1 Al Mokawloon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
0-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.33 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
284 Passes 199
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Masr vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon nicked a narrow win over Masr 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Mokawloon found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Masr had 57% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.33 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Masr and 4.00 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Masr vs Al Mokawloon?

Masr 0-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Masr 40%, draw 26%, Al Mokawloon 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Masr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Masr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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