Sakandary 2-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.48
Over 2.5
27%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.13
No
67%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
46%
2.2
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.65
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 46% vs market 38.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
73%
Under 2.5
64%
+9.4pp
27%
Over 2.5
36%
-9.4pp
33%
BTTS Yes
43%
-9.5pp
67%
BTTS No
57%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakandary EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.45/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.04
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.6 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakandary
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
293 Passes 201
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
39 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.01.2024 Sakandary Sakandary 1-0 HT 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MISLK
21.10.2023 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-2 HT 2-1 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakandary
2-1
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2.94 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
294 Passes 197
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakandary vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakandary squeezed past Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Sakandary found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sakandary had 56% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 44%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.94 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sakandary's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sakandary had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sakandary and 1.00 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.

What was the final score of Sakandary vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Sakandary 2-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakandary vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakandary win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sakandary 39%, draw 35%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakandary) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakandary) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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