Kotwica Kolobrzeg 2-0 Stomil Olsztyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
1.50/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.26
-5% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 2-1 HT 0-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
07.11.2022 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 1-0 HT 0-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
17.07.2022 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2-0
AWAY Stomil Olsztyn
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Stomil Olsztyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kotwica Kolobrzeg saw off Stomil Olsztyn 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kotwica Kolobrzeg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 56% of the ball to Stomil Olsztyn's 44%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stomil Olsztyn led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kotwica Kolobrzeg and 1.00 for Stomil Olsztyn.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Stomil Olsztyn?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 2-0 Stomil Olsztyn in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Stomil Olsztyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kotwica Kolobrzeg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 48%, draw 27%, Stomil Olsztyn 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) ✓ BTTS No
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