Polonia Bytom 4-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 May 2024

Polonia Bytom
4-2 HT 0-2
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Polonia Bytom vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonia Bytom v Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.00/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.53
+31% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Polonia Bytom vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3-2 HT 1-1 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2

Polonia Bytom 4-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
4-2
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom beat Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 58% of the ball to Sandecja Nowy Sacz's 42%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Polonia Bytom 4-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 41%, draw 27%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom)
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