Cracovia Krakow 5-0 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 May 2024

Cracovia Krakow
5-0 HT 2-0
Gornik Zabrze
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
12%
4.66
X/2
10%
6.62
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
16%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cracovia Krakow v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.44/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.32
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
25.6 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 382
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
30.01.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
18.07.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
06.03.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-0 HT 2-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
11.09.2021 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-2 HT 0-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
03.05.2021 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL

Cracovia Krakow 5-0 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
5-0
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.48 xG 0.16
31% Ball Possession 69%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
180 Passes 497
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
32 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow swept aside Gornik Zabrze 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cracovia Krakow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 31% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 69%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.48 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.00 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?

Cracovia Krakow 5-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 40%, draw 28%, Gornik Zabrze 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cracovia Krakow), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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