Abha 3-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 May 2024

Abha
3-1 HT 0-0
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Abha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.96
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
6.79
2-3 Goals
39%
2.16
4-5 Goals
23%
2.48
6+ Goals
12%
5.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.79 — our 26% vs market 10.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abha v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
+26% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.18/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.96
+33% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +41%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
243 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.1 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Abha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.12 xG 2.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-2 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
08.05.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-0 HT 3-0 Abha Abha SUUD
31.12.2022 Abha Abha 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
06.02.2022 Abha Abha 0-4 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
11.09.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 6-1 HT 3-1 Abha Abha SUUD
20.05.2021 Abha Abha 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD

Abha 3-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
3-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.30 xG 3.03
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
157 Passes 578
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha beat Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad-Jeddah at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Abha had 27% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 73%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 1.30 to 3.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Abha and 3.67 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Abha 3-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Abha 28%, draw 22%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 50%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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