Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.96
4-5 Goals
19%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.02 — our 27% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.63/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.45
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.0 Crosses 12.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
14.04.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
11.10.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
27.06.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
31.12.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
09.08.2020 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 3-2 HT 0-2 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-2
AWAY Al Fayha
1.15 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
14 Corners 2
433 Passes 291
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 24
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha squeezed past Al Ettifaq 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ettifaq at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 60% of the ball to Al Fayha's 40%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.15 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ettifaq and 0.50 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Fayha?

Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 48%, draw 25%, Al Fayha 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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