Degerfors 1-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 May 2025

Degerfors
1-1 HT 1-1
IK Sirius
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Degerfors vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.63
6+ Goals
13%
14.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.59
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.54
X/2
12%
5.98
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.05
2/X
10%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +24%
1.20/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
-19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.3 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Degerfors vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
0W-1D-5L
AWAY IK Sirius
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 2.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 422
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-2 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
15.07.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 0-3 HT 0-2 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
08.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
17.07.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
18.09.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
24.07.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ

Degerfors 1-1 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
1-1
AWAY IK Sirius
1.88 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
388 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors and IK Sirius couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Degerfors had 51% of the ball to IK Sirius's 49%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.88 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Degerfors and 2.00 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs IK Sirius?

Degerfors 1-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 35%, draw 28%, IK Sirius 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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