Halmstad 4-2 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.88
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.15
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
8%
6.48
X/2
16%
4.85
X/X
19%
3.99
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.3
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.7pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.15
-5% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
19.0 Crosses 24.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
347 Passes 496
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
28.04.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 0-3 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
02.03.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
27.08.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
15.07.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-2 HT 1-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.10.2018 Halmstad Halmstad 0-3 HT 0-3 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
4-2
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.92 xG 0.98
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
170 Passes 476
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 46
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad saw off IFK Varnamo 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (26% / 36% / 38%) promised a tight game; Halmstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Halmstad had 32% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 68%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.92 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Halmstad and 1.00 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs IFK Varnamo?

Halmstad 4-2 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 26%, draw 36%, IFK Varnamo 38%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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