Halmstad 1-0 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.63
X/2
17%
4.76
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.12
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 12% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.17
+6% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 78%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
16.6 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.94 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
334 Passes 470
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 0-3 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
02.03.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
27.08.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
15.07.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-2 HT 1-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.10.2018 Halmstad Halmstad 0-3 HT 0-3 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
20.05.2018 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 1-2 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
1-0
AWAY IFK Varnamo
0.63 xG 0.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
372 Passes 549
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad nicked a narrow win over IFK Varnamo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Varnamo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Halmstad had 42% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 58%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.63 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Halmstad and 1.17 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs IFK Varnamo?

Halmstad 1-0 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 30%, draw 26%, IFK Varnamo 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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