Malmö FF 0-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Jul 2024

Malmö FF
0-1 HT 0-0
IK Sirius
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Malmö FF vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.79
2-3 Goals
37%
2.16
4-5 Goals
28%
2.48
6+ Goals
15%
4.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.9
X/1
17%
3.72
X/2
5%
19.05
X/X
10%
8.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.7
2/2
7%
12.85
2/X
5%
20.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
2.10/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.79
+9% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.6 Crosses 12.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Malmö FF vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
5W-0D-1L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.81 xG 1.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
498 Passes 263
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
47 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.07.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-4 HT 2-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
28.08.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-3 HT 1-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
01.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
07.08.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-1 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
23.07.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
30.10.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-3 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ

Malmö FF 0-1 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
0-1
AWAY IK Sirius
1.75 xG 1.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 10
388 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
52 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius nicked a narrow win over Malmö FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Malmö FF at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malmö FF had 59% of the ball to IK Sirius's 41%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 1.75 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Malmö FF and 1.50 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs IK Sirius?

Malmö FF 0-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 63%, draw 20%, IK Sirius 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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