Göteborg 3-4 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Jul 2024

Göteborg
3-4 HT 1-1
Brommapojkarna
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Göteborg vs Brommapojkarna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
10%
4.66
X/2
15%
7.33
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.07
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v Brommapojkarna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.12/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
-35% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +71%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.2 Crosses 23.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Göteborg vs Brommapojkarna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.33 xG 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
292 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
16.09.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.05.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
22.10.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
28.07.2018 Göteborg Göteborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
17.08.2014 Göteborg Göteborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ

Göteborg 3-4 Brommapojkarna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
3-4
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.29 xG 2.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
328 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 36
32 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna nicked a narrow win over Göteborg 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Brommapojkarna found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Göteborg had 49% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 51%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.29 to 2.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brommapojkarna's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göteborg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Göteborg and 0.00 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Göteborg 3-4 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 35%, draw 28%, Brommapojkarna 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
27 Jul 2024
16:00 Norrköping vs Kalmar Analysis →
18:30 Malmö FF vs IK Sirius Analysis →
21:00 Halmstad vs IFK Varnamo Analysis →