Norrköping 2-0 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Jul 2024

Norrköping
2-0 HT 1-0
Kalmar
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Norrköping vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
10%
5.24
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.06
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.35/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.24
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
22.6 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Norrköping vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kalmar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.48
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
300 Passes 531
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
30.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
28.05.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
17.09.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
26.04.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-2 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
07.11.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

Norrköping 2-0 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
2-0
AWAY Kalmar
2.02 xG 0.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
292 Passes 418
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping got the better of Kalmar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Norrköping made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Norrköping had 42% of the ball to Kalmar's 58%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.02 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Norrköping and 1.17 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Kalmar?

Norrköping 2-0 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 38%, draw 26%, Kalmar 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norrköping) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norrköping) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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