Kalmar 1-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 16 May 2024

Kalmar
1-1 HT 0-0
Norrköping
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Kalmar vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.06
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
10%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.19
X/2
11%
6.65
X/X
11%
4.87
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
17%
4.36
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.26/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.63
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.0 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kalmar vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Norrköping
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 1.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
538 Passes 301
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
28.05.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
17.09.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
26.04.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-2 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
07.11.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
09.08.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ

Kalmar 1-1 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
1-1
AWAY Norrköping
0.68 xG 1.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 1
325 Passes 475
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar and Norrköping couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kalmar had 42% of the ball to Norrköping's 58%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.68 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kalmar and 1.17 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Norrköping?

Kalmar 1-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 40%, draw 26%, Norrköping 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kalmar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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