Brommapojkarna 0-5 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 16 May 2024

Brommapojkarna
0-5 HT 0-1
Djurgarden
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.61
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
8%
6.72
X/2
20%
4.9
X/X
6%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
32.0
2/2
20%
2.95
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brommapojkarna v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.28/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
23.7 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
328 Passes 456
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
01.04.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-1 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
04.03.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-1 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
27.02.2022 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-3 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
16.09.2018 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
06.05.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Brommapojkarna 0-5 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
0-5
AWAY Djurgarden
1.64 xG 1.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
438 Passes 481
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden ran out comfortable winners over Brommapojkarna 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 48% of the ball to Djurgarden's 52%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.64 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brommapojkarna and 1.67 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?

Brommapojkarna 0-5 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 29%, draw 23%, Djurgarden 49%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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