IK Sirius 2-2 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 16 May 2024

IK Sirius
2-2 HT 1-0
Göteborg
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IK Sirius vs Göteborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.26
X/2
11%
6.31
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.16
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Göteborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.71/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.36
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
21.2 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

IK Sirius vs Göteborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
442 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
11.06.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
28.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
27.06.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.11.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-3 HT 2-2 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.05.2021 Göteborg Göteborg 2-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IK Sirius 2-2 Göteborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
2-2
AWAY Göteborg
2.12 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
272 Passes 435
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius and Göteborg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, IK Sirius had 40% of the ball to Göteborg's 60%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.12 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IK Sirius and 1.50 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Göteborg?

IK Sirius 2-2 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 39%, draw 28%, Göteborg 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
16 May 2024
20:00 Malmö FF vs GAIS Analysis →
20:00 Kalmar vs Norrköping Analysis →
20:00 Brommapojkarna vs Djurgarden Analysis →