Malmö FF 1-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 16 May 2024

Malmö FF
1-0 HT 0-0
GAIS
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Malmö FF vs GAIS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.15
X/1
22%
3.56
X/2
8%
16.55
X/X
7%
7.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
5%
12.5
2/X
8%
20.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v GAIS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
2.31/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/1.29
+3% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +69%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.7 Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –

Malmö FF vs GAIS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
4W-0D-2L
AWAY GAIS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.02.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-1 HT 4-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
01.03.2021 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
23.07.2012 GAIS GAIS 2-3 HT 2-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
16.07.2012 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
20.08.2011 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
26.06.2011 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ

Malmö FF 1-0 GAIS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-0
AWAY GAIS
1.23 xG 0.53
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
671 Passes 218
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF squeezed past GAIS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malmö FF had 72% of the ball to GAIS's 28%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.23 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Malmö FF and 1.17 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs GAIS?

Malmö FF 1-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 62%, draw 22%, GAIS 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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