IFK Varnamo 1-3 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.62
2-3 Goals
48%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.54
X/2
8%
6.44
X/X
10%
4.05
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
17%
5.08
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.9pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.19/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.72
-37% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.2 Crosses 22.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Halmstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
470 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
27.08.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
15.07.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-2 HT 1-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.10.2018 Halmstad Halmstad 0-3 HT 0-3 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
20.05.2018 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 1-2 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
29.08.2016 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-3
AWAY Halmstad
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad got the better of IFK Varnamo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Varnamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 62% of the ball to Halmstad's 38%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.17 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Halmstad?

IFK Varnamo 1-3 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 44%, draw 22%, Halmstad 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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