Malmö FF 5-0 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
20%
3.71
X/2
7%
10.7
X/X
10%
5.43
2/1
11%
23.15
2/2
9%
8.62
2/X
7%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.87/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.3 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY AIK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
448 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.05.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 3-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
11.05.2022 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
17.04.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 2-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
14.03.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-2 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇK
27.10.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
5-0
AWAY AIK
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF ran out comfortable winners over AIK 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 58% of the ball to AIK's 42%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malmö FF and 0.83 for AIK.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs AIK?

Malmö FF 5-0 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 56%, draw 23%, AIK 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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