Paradiso 1-0 Baden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradiso EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Baden EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.87/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.61
-56% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradiso
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baden
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.10.2024 Baden Baden 1-0 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradiso
1-0
AWAY Baden
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paradiso vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradiso squeezed past Baden 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paradiso as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Paradiso had 49% of the ball to Baden's 51%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Paradiso vs Baden?

Paradiso 1-0 Baden in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradiso vs Baden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Paradiso 50%, draw 22%, Baden 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradiso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paradiso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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