Baden 1-0 Paradiso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.75
No
62%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-15.1pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradiso EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +16%
1.50/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.03
-10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +71%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Baden vs Paradiso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baden nicked a narrow win over Paradiso 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baden as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Baden vs Paradiso?

Baden 1-0 Paradiso in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Paradiso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baden 43%, draw 26%, Paradiso 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baden), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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