26/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Baden vs Paradiso Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
26%
Draw
28%
31%
Away Win
30%
60%
Under 2.5
52%
40%
Over 2.5
48%
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
62%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baden v Paradiso — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Baden
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Paradiso
EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+19% /
+16%
1.50/1.21
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.42/1.03
-10%
/
+25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
+71%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
296 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
295 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.4
POST-MATCH
Baden vs Paradiso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Baden nicked a narrow win over Paradiso 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baden as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Baden vs Paradiso?
Baden 1-0 Paradiso in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baden vs Paradiso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baden 43%, draw 26%, Paradiso 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baden), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Baden)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İSV1Y
More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
26 Oct 2024