Lugano II 1-0 Delemont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Delemont EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.42/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/2.30
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Delemont
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 3-0 HT 2-0 Delemont Delemont İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
1-0
AWAY Delemont
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Delemont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II squeezed past Delemont 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lugano II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugano II had 31% of the ball to Delemont's 69%, shots finished 7-22.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Delemont?

Lugano II 1-0 Delemont in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Delemont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Delemont win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 36%, draw 27%, Delemont 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Delemont) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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