Rapperswil-Jona 3-3 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+15.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-15.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.93/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.84
-9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Luzern II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
23.03.2024 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-3 HT 1-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
20.09.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 1-2 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
29.04.2023 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 4-3 HT 2-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona and Luzern II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rapperswil-Jona at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 2.33 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Luzern II?

Rapperswil-Jona 3-3 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 59%, draw 19%, Luzern II 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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