Rapperswil-Jona 2-3 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.14/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.92
-2% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Luzern II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.09.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 1-2 HT 1-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
29.04.2023 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 4-3 HT 2-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern II squeezed past Rapperswil-Jona 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Rapperswil-Jona carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 2.00 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Luzern II?

Rapperswil-Jona 2-3 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 60%, draw 23%, Luzern II 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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