Inter Milano (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.53
No
56%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
61%
-17.1pp
56%
BTTS No
39%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.30/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.65
+51% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
19.6 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
01.02.2025 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
03.11.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
01.05.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
24.03.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
1-3
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.67 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
406 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) got the better of Inter Milano (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Milano (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 58% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 42%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 1.67 to 1.18 — on chances, Inter Milano (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Inter Milano (K) and 1.00 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 48%, draw 25%, Fiorentina (K) 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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