Almagro 1-0 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 May 2025

Almagro
1-0 HT 1-0
San Miguel
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Almagro vs San Miguel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v San Miguel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.67/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Almagro vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro edged past San Miguel 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Almagro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Almagro vs San Miguel?

Almagro 1-0 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almagro 31%, draw 32%, San Miguel 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Miguel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
3 May 2025
02:00 San Martin Tucuman vs Colegiales Analysis →
21:00 Club Atletico Guemes vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
21:30 San Telmo vs Almirante Brown Analysis →
23:05 Los Andes vs Deportivo Madryn Analysis →