San Telmo 0-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.6pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.19/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.28
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Almirante Brown
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
05.10.2024 San Telmo San Telmo 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
20.05.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
10.06.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 3-1 HT 2-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
05.02.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
03.04.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 1-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
14.09.2019 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBM
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown edged past San Telmo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Almirante Brown found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Telmo and 0.83 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

San Telmo 0-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 40%, draw 29%, Almirante Brown 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Telmo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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