San Telmo 0-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.32/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.23
+3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Almirante Brown
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
20.05.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
10.06.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 3-1 HT 2-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
05.02.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
03.04.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 1-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
14.09.2019 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBM
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown nicked a narrow win over San Telmo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Telmo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for San Telmo and 0.80 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

San Telmo 0-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 54%, draw 27%, Almirante Brown 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Telmo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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