Almagro 1-2 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.70/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.39
-28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +136%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.05.2024 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi edged past Almagro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Atletico Aldosivi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Almagro 1-2 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Almagro 34%, draw 32%, Atletico Aldosivi 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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