Agropecuario Argentino 2-1 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.2pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.18/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.25
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
19.05.2024 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-2 HT 0-2 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
03.09.2023 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
22.04.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
14.06.2022 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
02.12.2019 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 3-0 HT 2-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino squeezed past Guillermo Brown 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Agropecuario Argentino as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 0.40 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs Guillermo Brown?

Agropecuario Argentino 2-1 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 52%, draw 27%, Guillermo Brown 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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