Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.23/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.62
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi nicked a narrow win over Almagro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Aldosivi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Almagro?

Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 54%, draw 23%, Almagro 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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