Quilmes 2-1 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.45
Over 2.5
25%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
38%
Draw
31%
+6.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
75%
Under 2.5
65%
+9.3pp
25%
Over 2.5
35%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.39
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
01.07.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
25.02.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
08.08.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 3-1 HT 1-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
15.03.2020 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
29.04.2007 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
22.10.2006 Quilmes Quilmes 2-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes edged past Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 38% / 24% — and on the day Quilmes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Quilmes and 1.00 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Quilmes 2-1 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 38%, draw 38%, Gimnasia Jujuy 24%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/24) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
19 May 2024
03:10 Estudiantes Caseros vs Alvarado Analysis →
19:45 Atletico Atlanta vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Agropecuario Argentino Analysis →
21:00 Arsenal Sarandi vs Tristan Suarez Analysis →
21:30 Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Madryn Analysis →
21:30 Atletico Aldosivi vs Almagro Analysis →