Estudiantes Caseros 4-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

Estudiantes Caseros
4-0 HT 2-0
Alvarado
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Estudiantes Caseros vs Alvarado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes Caseros v Alvarado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.24/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.31
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.5

Estudiantes Caseros vs Alvarado Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Alvarado
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
24.04.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
09.10.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
17.06.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-3 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
24.11.2019 Alvarado Alvarado 4-2 HT 1-2 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros ran out comfortable winners over Alvarado 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.75 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Alvarado?

Estudiantes Caseros 4-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 44%, draw 29%, Alvarado 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
19 May 2024
01:00 Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis →
19:45 Atletico Atlanta vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Agropecuario Argentino Analysis →
21:00 Arsenal Sarandi vs Tristan Suarez Analysis →
21:30 Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Madryn Analysis →
21:30 Atletico Aldosivi vs Almagro Analysis →