Atletico Atlanta 2-0 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-12.2pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.02/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.24
-22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
26.06.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
21.02.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
23.08.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta saw off Atletico Rafaela 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 28%) promised a tight game; Atletico Atlanta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Rafaela led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 0.33 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Atletico Rafaela?

Atletico Atlanta 2-0 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 37%, draw 36%, Atletico Rafaela 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Atlanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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