Queensland Lions 2-1 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.61
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.20/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.01
+33% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 5.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.62 xG 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 Passes 437
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-2 HT 2-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
10.03.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
23.07.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
23.04.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
03.09.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
07.08.2022 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 2-3 HT 1-3 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Olympic FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.33 for Brisbane Olympic FC.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Queensland Lions 2-1 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 53%, draw 23%, Brisbane Olympic FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
3 May 2025
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