Brisbane City 2-1 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 3 May 2025

Brisbane City
2-1 HT 1-0
Peninsula Power
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-12.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.0pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane City v Peninsula Power — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.12/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.83
+1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.5 Crosses 17.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Peninsula Power
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.38 xG 2.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
295 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
28.04.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-4 HT 1-3 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
10.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-1 HT 1-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
04.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
28.05.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-2 HT 2-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
27.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 5-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City nicked a narrow win over Peninsula Power 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brisbane City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane City and 2.17 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power?

Brisbane City 2-1 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 34%, draw 26%, Peninsula Power 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Peninsula Power), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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