Peninsula Power 1-0 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.3pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.06/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/5.11
-8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Brisbane City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.31 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
252 Passes 286
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-4 HT 1-3 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
10.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-1 HT 1-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
04.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
28.05.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-2 HT 2-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
27.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 5-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
21.10.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power edged past Brisbane City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Peninsula Power and 1.17 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Brisbane City?

Peninsula Power 1-0 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 52%, draw 24%, Brisbane City 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
4 Aug 2024
06:15 Yoogali vs Monaro Panthers Analysis →
07:00 South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras Analysis →
08:00 Sydney United vs Sydney II Analysis →
08:00 Blacktown City Demons vs Sydney Olympic Analysis →
08:00 Wollongong Wolves vs Rockdale Ilinden Analysis →
10:00 Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast United Analysis →