South Hobart 6-1 Clarence Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.0pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.6pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
3.64/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/3.13
+26% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Clarence Zebras
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-1 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
23.03.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 3-1 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
05.08.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-6 HT 0-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
03.06.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 5-4 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
26.03.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 2-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
04.09.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 3-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart cruised past Clarence Zebras 6-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for South Hobart and 1.83 for Clarence Zebras.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras?

South Hobart 6-1 Clarence Zebras in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 64%, draw 19%, Clarence Zebras 17%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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