Brisbane City 2-4 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

Brisbane City
2-4 HT 1-3
Peninsula Power
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane City v Peninsula Power — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.90/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.33
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.5 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.4

Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Peninsula Power
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 2.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
272 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-1 HT 1-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
04.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
28.05.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-2 HT 2-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
27.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 5-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
21.10.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
19.09.2020 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-2 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power beat Brisbane City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Peninsula Power found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane City and 2.00 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power?

Brisbane City 2-4 Peninsula Power in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 37%, draw 26%, Peninsula Power 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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